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Our football betting expert brings you their Alaves vs Atletico Madrid predictions as the teams go head-to-head in La Liga.
Atletico Madrid’s focus is on qualifying for next season’s Champions League. Alaves, on the other hand, aim to retain their place in the top tier of Spanish football.
Alaves vs Atlético Madrid Predictions & Tips
Atletico Madrid to win @ 1.98 with Bet9ja Under 2.5 goals @ 1.70 with Bet9ja Correa to score @ 3.60 with Bet9ja 1×2 corners – Atletico Madrid with Bet9ja NG & under 2.5 goals @ 2.03 with Bet9ja Atletico Madrid to win & NG @ 3.10 with Bet9ja 1st half – under 0.5 goals @ 2.57 with Bet9jaAtletico Madrid should be expected to win this match against Alaves 2-0.
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Atletico to come out on top
Atletico Madrid have struggled on the road this season. They have won just five of their 15 away matches in La Liga. However, they have won their last two league games, which includes an away win in Villarreal, so I’m backing them on the 1×2 market here.
Diego Simeone’s side boast a strong record against Alaves. They have lost just one of the last 10 head-to-heads against them and won eight. During that run, Atletico averaged two goals per game and conceded just 0.6.
Alaves have just one win in their last nine matches. They come into this clash on a three-match losing run, so the price for an Atletico Madrid victory is appealing.
Bet 1: Atletico Madrid to win @ 1.98 Bet9ja
Goals in Short Supply
Alaves’ La Liga matches have seen an average of 2.06 goals. This is the fifth-fewest in the division and their recent home matches have seen even less. They have played seven games in front of their own fans in 2024 and those have seen an average of just 1.71 goals.
Although Atletico Madrid are the favourites, they score an average of just 1.47 goals per game when playing on the road. There was just one goal and two shots on target the last time Atleti played at this ground. Expect a cagey start following Simeone’s side’s Champions League performance, which should contribute to a lack of goals in the match.
Bet 2: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.70 Bet9ja
Correa to Make an Impact
Angel Correa came off the bench to grab a goal in Atletico Madrid’s 4-2 defeat against Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday night. The attacker’s goal appeared to have secured his side a place in the last four, but a quick double-salvo from the home side was enough to sink Simeone’s men.
Correa should start this one. He has scored eight La Liga goals this season and can add to his tally here.
Correa’s chances in the starting eleven have been limited in this campaign. However, he has managed an average of 0.57 non-penalty goals per 90 minutes he has played. This puts him in the 81st percentile when compared with all other forwards across Europe’s top five leagues.
Bet 3: Correa to score @ 3.60 Bet9ja
Visitors Can Rack Up the Corners
The last of our predictions for this match is for Atletico Madrid to have more corners than the home side at odds of 2.15 with Bet9ja. Diego Simeone’s side have managed to win more corners than their opponents in eight of their 15 league matches on the road this season. Over that period, they averaged 0.46 more corners per game than the opposition.
In the last five head-to-heads between these sides, Alaves averaged three corners per game and conceded 5.8. It’s unusual for the favourite on the 1×2 market to be the underdog in the corners match bet, so Atletico appear to be a good value here.
Bet 4: 1×2 corners – Atletico Madrid
